Form 20-F X
|
Form 40-F ___
|
Yes
|
___ |
No X
|
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Stressed VaR
|
1,793
|
1,682
|
Incremental Risk Charge
|
659
|
469
|
All Price Risk
|
262
|
297
|
(1)
|
The effect of any month end adjustments, not attributable to a specific daily market move, is spread evenly over the days in the month in question.
|
·
|
Markets delivered higher trading revenues in Q1 2012 than in Q4 2011. This reflected the temporary improvement in global markets sentiment following the approval of Greece's bailout and debt restructuring and increased liquidity in Europe as a result of the European Central Bank's Long-Term Refinancing Operation programme.
|
·
|
A higher volume of client activity and normalised bid-offer spreads contributed to more stable and consistent revenues compared with Q4 2011, as seen by trends in average daily revenue and standard deviation. The average daily revenue in Q1 2012 was £27 million compared with £9 million in Q4 2011. The standard deviation of the daily revenues in Q1 2012 was £15 million, down from £18 million in Q4 2011.
|
·
|
The number of days with negative revenue decreased from 18 in Q4 2011 to two in Q1 2012, primarily reflecting the factors discussed above.
|
·
|
The two most frequent results were daily revenue of: (i) between £15 million and £20 million, and (ii) between £25 million and £30 million, each of which occurred 13 times in Q1 2012. In Q4 2011, the most frequent result was daily revenue of between zero and £5 million, which occurred 12 times.
|
Quarter ended
|
||||||||||||||
31 March 2012
|
31 December 2011
|
31 March 2011
|
||||||||||||
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
|||
Trading VaR
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
||
Interest rate
|
73.8
|
68.3
|
95.7
|
51.2
|
62.5
|
68.1
|
72.3
|
50.8
|
60.4
|
60.2
|
79.2
|
42.1
|
||
Credit spread
|
84.2
|
88.5
|
94.9
|
72.6
|
68.4
|
74.3
|
78.5
|
57.4
|
134.1
|
97.7
|
151.1
|
97.7
|
||
Currency
|
12.5
|
11.1
|
21.3
|
8.2
|
10.9
|
16.2
|
19.2
|
5.7
|
12.2
|
10.5
|
18.0
|
8.1
|
||
Equity
|
7.5
|
6.3
|
12.5
|
4.7
|
8.3
|
8.0
|
12.5
|
5.0
|
11.1
|
10.7
|
14.5
|
8.0
|
||
Commodity
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
6.0
|
1.0
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
7.0
|
2.0
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
|||
Diversification (1)
|
(69.0)
|
(52.3)
|
(71.1)
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
116.6
|
106.5
|
137.0
|
97.2
|
109.7
|
116.6
|
132.2
|
83.5
|
156.4
|
108.1
|
181.3
|
108.1
|
||
Core
|
82.8
|
74.5
|
118.0
|
63.6
|
77.3
|
89.1
|
95.6
|
57.7
|
108.2
|
72.2
|
133.9
|
72.2
|
||
Non-Core
|
38.7
|
39.3
|
41.9
|
34.2
|
35.2
|
34.6
|
40.7
|
30.0
|
113.9
|
109.4
|
128.6
|
104.1
|
||
CEM (2)
|
79.1
|
78.5
|
84.2
|
73.3
|
75.8
|
43.9
|
||||||||
Total (excluding CEM) (2)
|
53.5
|
56.6
|
76.4
|
41.0
|
49.7
|
110.8
|
(1)
|
The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, industry counterparties, currencies and regions. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.
|
(2)
|
CEM and total trading VaR excluding CEM for Q1 2012 have been presented on a minimum, maximum, average and period end basis. For comparative purposes, the period end VaR figures have been shown for Q4 2011 and Q1 2011.
|
·
|
The Group's average and maximum total trading VaR and interest rate trading VaR were slightly higher during Q1 2012 than Q4 2011. This was largely driven by pre-hedging activity ahead of UK Gilt and Japanese Government bond auctions in which RBS participated.
|
·
|
The eurozone sovereign crisis caused unrest in the credit markets over the quarter as France was downgraded and Greece's debt refinancing raised concerns over Italy and Spain's ability to refinance their debt. This caused credit spreads to widen over the majority of the quarter and impacted the Group's credit spread exposure, resulting in a higher average and maximum credit spread VaR in Q1 2012 than in Q4 2011.
|
·
|
Non-Core trading VaR showed a slight increase over Q1 2012 due to increased hedging activities in CEM as counterparty credit risks deteriorated.
|
Quarter ended
|
||||||||||||||
31 March 2012
|
31 December 2011
|
31 March 2011
|
||||||||||||
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
Average
|
Period end
|
Maximum
|
Minimum
|
|||
Non-trading VaR
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
||
Interest rate
|
9.6
|
8.7
|
10.7
|
8.7
|
9.7
|
9.9
|
10.9
|
8.8
|
7.8
|
7.0
|
10.8
|
6.5
|
||
Credit spread
|
13.9
|
15.2
|
15.4
|
12.9
|
13.9
|
13.6
|
15.7
|
12.1
|
23.8
|
22.5
|
39.3
|
14.2
|
||
Currency
|
3.7
|
3.3
|
4.5
|
3.2
|
3.5
|
4.0
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
0.1
|
||
Equity
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.8
|
2.5
|
2.3
|
3.1
|
2.2
|
||
Diversification (1)
|
(10.8)
|
(13.6)
|
(5.4)
|
|||||||||||
Total
|
15.7
|
18.2
|
18.3
|
13.6
|
16.3
|
15.8
|
20.0
|
14.2
|
26.5
|
27.0
|
41.6
|
13.4
|
||
Core
|
15.7
|
18.8
|
19.0
|
13.5
|
16.0
|
15.1
|
18.9
|
14.1
|
25.5
|
26.1
|
38.9
|
13.5
|
||
Non-Core
|
2.5
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
3.4
|
2.5
|
3.9
|
2.5
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
3.4
|
2.2
|
||
CEM (2)
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
||||||||
Total excluding CEM (2)
|
15.7
|
17.4
|
17.8
|
13.5
|
15.5
|
27.0
|
(1)
|
The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, industry counterparties, currencies and regions. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. Diversification has an inverse relationship with correlation. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR.
|
(2)
|
CEM and total non-trading VaR excluding CEM for Q1 2012 have been presented on a minimum, maximum, average and period end basis. For comparative purposes, the period end VaR figures have been shown for Q4 2011 and Q1 2011.
|
Drawn notional
|
Fair value
|
||||||||||
CDOs
|
CLOs
|
MBS (1)
|
Other
ABS
|
Total
|
CDOs
|
CLOs
|
MBS (1)
|
Other
ABS
|
Total
|
||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
||
31 March 2012
|
|||||||||||
1-2 years
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
54
|
54
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
48
|
48
|
|
2-3 years
|
-
|
-
|
9
|
153
|
162
|
-
|
-
|
9
|
143
|
152
|
|
4-5 years
|
-
|
18
|
30
|
93
|
141
|
-
|
17
|
23
|
86
|
126
|
|
5-10 years
|
-
|
368
|
254
|
248
|
870
|
-
|
334
|
167
|
210
|
711
|
|
>10 years
|
1,115
|
432
|
833
|
557
|
2,937
|
202
|
368
|
569
|
319
|
1,458
|
|
1,115
|
818
|
1,126
|
1,105
|
4,164
|
202
|
719
|
768
|
806
|
2,495
|
||
31 December 2011
|
|||||||||||
1-2 years
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
27
|
27
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
22
|
22
|
|
2-3 years
|
-
|
-
|
10
|
196
|
206
|
-
|
-
|
9
|
182
|
191
|
|
4-5 years
|
-
|
37
|
37
|
95
|
169
|
-
|
34
|
30
|
88
|
152
|
|
5-10 years
|
32
|
503
|
270
|
268
|
1,073
|
30
|
455
|
184
|
229
|
898
|
|
>10 years
|
2,180
|
442
|
464
|
593
|
3,679
|
766
|
371
|
291
|
347
|
1,775
|
|
2,212
|
982
|
781
|
1,179
|
5,154
|
796
|
860
|
514
|
868
|
3,038
|
||
31 March 2011
|
|||||||||||
1-2 years
|
-
|
19
|
-
|
38
|
57
|
-
|
18
|
-
|
34
|
52
|
|
2-3 years
|
12
|
19
|
43
|
70
|
144
|
12
|
17
|
42
|
64
|
135
|
|
3-4 years
|
-
|
5
|
11
|
206
|
222
|
-
|
5
|
10
|
194
|
209
|
|
4-5 years
|
15
|
15
|
-
|
36
|
66
|
15
|
14
|
-
|
33
|
62
|
|
5-10 years
|
96
|
467
|
313
|
385
|
1,261
|
85
|
435
|
232
|
342
|
1,094
|
|
>10 years
|
397
|
624
|
561
|
530
|
2,112
|
154
|
500
|
400
|
369
|
1,423
|
|
520
|
1,149
|
928
|
1,265
|
3,862
|
266
|
989
|
684
|
1,036
|
2,975
|
(1)
|
MBS include sub-prime RMBS with a notional amount of £396 million (31 December 2011 - £401 million; 31 March 2011 - £455 million) and a fair value of £258 million (31 December 2011 - £252 million; 31 March 2011 - £330 million), all with residual maturities of greater than ten years.
|
·
|
The CDO drawn notional was lower at 31 March 2012 than at 31 December 2011 due to the liquidation of legacy commercial real estate CDOs. Following the liquidation, the majority of the underlying assets were sold and the retained MBS assets were added to the MBS portfolio, increasing the drawn notional at 31 March 2012.
|
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
|
Ordinary share price
|
£0.276
|
£0.202
|
Number of ordinary shares in issue
|
59,546m
|
59,228m
|
2012 interim results
|
Friday 3 August 2012
|
2012 third quarter interim management statement
|
Friday 2 November 2012
|
Quarter ended
|
|||||||||||
31 March 2012
|
31 December 2011
|
31 March 2011
|
|||||||||
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
|||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||
Interest receivable
|
5,017
|
-
|
5,017
|
5,234
|
-
|
5,234
|
5,402
|
(1)
|
5,401
|
||
Interest payable
|
(2,010)
|
(8)
|
(2,018)
|
(2,158)
|
(2)
|
(2,160)
|
(2,100)
|
-
|
(2,100)
|
||
Net interest income
|
3,007
|
(8)
|
2,999
|
3,076
|
(2)
|
3,074
|
3,302
|
(1)
|
3,301
|
||
Fees and commissions receivable
|
1,487
|
-
|
1,487
|
1,590
|
-
|
1,590
|
1,642
|
-
|
1,642
|
||
Fees and commissions payable
|
(290)
|
-
|
(290)
|
(573)
|
-
|
(573)
|
(260)
|
-
|
(260)
|
||
Income from trading activities
|
1,264
|
(1,052)
|
212
|
242
|
(480)
|
(238)
|
1,570
|
(735)
|
835
|
||
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
|
-
|
577
|
577
|
-
|
(1)
|
(1)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Other operating income (excluding insurance net premium income)
|
725
|
(1,472)
|
(747)
|
405
|
(200)
|
205
|
710
|
(319)
|
391
|
||
Insurance net premium income
|
938
|
-
|
938
|
981
|
-
|
981
|
1,149
|
-
|
1,149
|
||
Non-interest income
|
4,124
|
(1,947)
|
2,177
|
2,645
|
(681)
|
1,964
|
4,811
|
(1,054)
|
3,757
|
||
Total income
|
7,131
|
(1,955)
|
5,176
|
5,721
|
(683)
|
5,038
|
8,113
|
(1,055)
|
7,058
|
||
Staff costs
|
(2,221)
|
(349)
|
(2,570)
|
(1,781)
|
(212)
|
(1,993)
|
(2,320)
|
(79)
|
(2,399)
|
||
Premises and equipment
|
(550)
|
(13)
|
(563)
|
(575)
|
(99)
|
(674)
|
(556)
|
(15)
|
(571)
|
||
Other administrative expenses
|
(819)
|
(197)
|
(1,016)
|
(838)
|
(458)
|
(1,296)
|
(865)
|
(56)
|
(921)
|
||
Depreciation and amortisation
|
(394)
|
(74)
|
(468)
|
(450)
|
(63)
|
(513)
|
(380)
|
(44)
|
(424)
|
||
Write down of goodwill and other intangible assets
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(91)
|
(91)
|
|||||
Operating expenses
|
(3,984)
|
(633)
|
(4,617)
|
(3,644)
|
(923)
|
(4,567)
|
(4,121)
|
(194)
|
(4,315)
|
||
Profit before other operating charges
|
3,147
|
(2,588)
|
559
|
2,077
|
(1,606)
|
471
|
3,992
|
(1,249)
|
2,743
|
||
Insurance net claims
|
(649)
|
-
|
(649)
|
(529)
|
-
|
(529)
|
(912)
|
-
|
(912)
|
||
Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses
|
2,498
|
(2,588)
|
(90)
|
1,548
|
(1,606)
|
(58)
|
3,080
|
(1,249)
|
1,831
|
||
Impairment losses
|
(1,314)
|
-
|
(1,314)
|
(1,692)
|
(226)
|
(1,918)
|
(1,947)
|
-
|
(1,947)
|
||
Operating profit/(loss)
|
1,184
|
(2,588)
|
(1,404)
|
(144)
|
(1,832)
|
(1,976)
|
1,133
|
(1,249)
|
(116)
|
Quarter ended
|
|||||||||||
31 March 2012
|
31 December 2011
|
31 March 2011
|
|||||||||
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
Managed
|
Reallocation
of one-off
items
|
Statutory
|
|||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||
Operating profit/(loss)
|
1,184
|
(2,588)
|
(1,404)
|
(144)
|
(1,832)
|
(1,976)
|
1,133
|
(1,249)
|
(116)
|
||
Own credit adjustments (1)
|
(2,456)
|
2,456
|
-
|
(472)
|
472
|
-
|
(560)
|
560
|
-
|
||
Asset Protection Scheme (2)
|
(43)
|
43
|
-
|
(209)
|
209
|
-
|
(469)
|
469
|
-
|
||
Payment protection Insurance costs
|
(125)
|
125
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Sovereign debt impairment
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(224)
|
224
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
|
(48)
|
48
|
-
|
(53)
|
53
|
-
|
(44)
|
44
|
-
|
||
Integration and restructuring costs
|
(460)
|
460
|
-
|
(478)
|
478
|
-
|
(145)
|
145
|
-
|
||
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
|
577
|
(577)
|
-
|
(1)
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Strategic disposals
|
(8)
|
8
|
-
|
(82)
|
82
|
-
|
(23)
|
23
|
-
|
||
Bank levy
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(300)
|
300
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Bonus tax
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(11)
|
11
|
-
|
||
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(11)
|
11
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
RFS Holdings minority interest
|
(25)
|
25
|
-
|
(2)
|
2
|
-
|
3
|
(3)
|
-
|
||
Loss before tax
|
(1,404)
|
-
|
(1,404)
|
(1,976)
|
-
|
(1,976)
|
(116)
|
-
|
(116)
|
||
Tax (charge)/credit
|
(139)
|
-
|
(139)
|
186
|
-
|
186
|
(423)
|
-
|
(423)
|
||
Loss from continuing operations
|
(1,543)
|
-
|
(1,543)
|
(1,790)
|
-
|
(1,790)
|
(539)
|
-
|
(539)
|
||
Profit from discontinued operations, net of tax
|
5
|
-
|
5
|
10
|
-
|
10
|
10
|
-
|
10
|
||
Loss for the period
|
(1,538)
|
-
|
(1,538)
|
(1,780)
|
-
|
(1,780)
|
(529)
|
-
|
(529)
|
||
Non-controlling interests
|
14
|
-
|
14
|
(18)
|
-
|
(18)
|
1
|
-
|
1
|
||
Loss attributable to ordinary and B shareholders
|
(1,524)
|
-
|
(1,524)
|
(1,798)
|
-
|
(1,798)
|
(528)
|
-
|
(528)
|
(1)
|
Reallocation of £1,009 million loss (Q4 2011 - £272 million; Q1 2011 - £266 million) to income from trading activities and £1,447 million loss (Q4 2011 - £200 million; Q1 2011 - £294 million) to other operating income.
|
(2)
|
Reallocation to income from trading activities.
|
Total income
|
Operating profit
before impairments
|
Operating profit
|
||||||
Q1 2012
|
FY 2011
|
Q1 2012
|
FY 2011
|
Q1 2012
|
FY 2011
|
|||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||
Direct Line Group (1)
|
966
|
4,286
|
84
|
407
|
84
|
407
|
||
UK branch-based businesses (2)
|
226
|
959
|
118
|
518
|
79
|
319
|
||
Total
|
1,192
|
5,245
|
202
|
925
|
163
|
726
|
RWAs
|
Total assets
|
Capital
|
||||||
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
|||
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
|||
Direct Line Group (1)
|
n/m
|
n/m
|
13.3
|
13.9
|
4.1
|
4.4
|
||
UK branch-based businesses (2)
|
10.5
|
11.1
|
19.1
|
19.3
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
||
Total
|
10.5
|
11.1
|
32.4
|
33.2
|
5.1
|
5.4
|
(1)
|
Total income includes investment income of £90 million (FY 2011 - £302 million). Total assets and estimated capital include approximately £0.9 billion of goodwill, of which £0.7 billion is attributed to Direct Line Group by RBS Group.
|
(2)
|
Estimated notional equity based on 10% (2011 - 9%) of RWAs.
|
Division
|
Total
|
||||
UK
Retail
|
UK
Corporate
|
Q1 2012
|
FY 2011
|
||
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
||
Income statement
|
|||||
Net interest income
|
79
|
82
|
161
|
689
|
|
Non-interest income
|
24
|
41
|
65
|
270
|
|
Total income
|
103
|
123
|
226
|
959
|
|
Direct expenses
|
|||||
- staff
|
(18)
|
(20)
|
(38)
|
(158)
|
|
- other
|
(26)
|
(14)
|
(40)
|
(166)
|
|
Indirect expenses
|
(17)
|
(13)
|
(30)
|
(117)
|
|
(61)
|
(47)
|
(108)
|
(441)
|
||
Operating profit before impairment losses
|
42
|
76
|
118
|
518
|
|
Impairment losses
|
(14)
|
(25)
|
(39)
|
(199)
|
|
Operating profit
|
28
|
51
|
79
|
319
|
|
Analysis of income by product
|
|||||
Loans and advances
|
28
|
71
|
99
|
436
|
|
Deposits
|
22
|
33
|
55
|
245
|
|
Mortgages
|
33
|
-
|
33
|
134
|
|
Other
|
20
|
19
|
39
|
144
|
|
Total income
|
103
|
123
|
226
|
959
|
|
Net interest margin
|
4.66%
|
2.88%
|
3.55%
|
3.57%
|
|
Employee numbers (full time equivalents rounded to the
nearest hundred)
|
2,800
|
1,600
|
4,400
|
4,400
|
Division
|
Total
|
|||||
UK
Retail
|
UK
Corporate
|
Markets
|
31 March
2012
|
31 December
2011
|
||
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
£bn
|
||
Capital and balance sheet
|
||||||
Total third party assets (excluding mark-to-
market derivatives)
|
7.1
|
11.6
|
-
|
18.7
|
18.9
|
|
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
|
7.3
|
12.0
|
-
|
19.3
|
19.5
|
|
Customer deposits
|
8.7
|
12.7
|
-
|
21.4
|
21.8
|
|
Derivative assets
|
-
|
-
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
|
Derivative liabilities
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.1
|
|
Risk elements in lending
|
0.5
|
1.0
|
-
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
|
Loan:deposit ratio
|
80%
|
91%
|
-
|
86%
|
86%
|
|
Risk-weighted assets
|
3.6
|
6.9
|
-
|
10.5
|
11.1
|
THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc (Registrant)
|
By:
|
/s/ Jan Cargill
|
Name:
Title:
|
Jan Cargill
Deputy Secretary
|