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Rush Street Interactive (NYSE:RSI) Exceeds Q4 Expectations

RSI Cover Image

Online casino and sports betting company Rush Street Interactive (NYSE:RSI) reported Q4 CY2024 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 31.1% year on year to $254.2 million. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $1.05 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.07 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Rush Street Interactive (RSI) Q4 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $254.2 million vs analyst estimates of $245.9 million (31.1% year-on-year growth, 3.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.07 vs analyst estimates of $0.06 (in line)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $30.65 million vs analyst estimates of $23.34 million (12.1% margin, 31.3% beat)
  • Management’s revenue guidance for the upcoming financial year 2025 is $1.05 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations and implying 13.1% growth (vs 33.8% in FY2024)
  • EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2025 is $125 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $119.3 million
  • Operating Margin: 4.8%, up from -1.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Monthly Active Users: 205,000, up 45,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $1.14 billion

Richard Schwartz, Chief Executive Officer of RSI, said, “We are excited to report another quarter of record performance, including for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Our fourth quarter revenue grew by 31% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA increased over two and a half times from the same period last year. We experienced broad-based growth and success across all our geographies and products. We continued to accelerate player growth, acquiring more players efficiently while maintaining industry leading player values. Our commitment to focusing on player needs and leveraging cutting-edge technology to deliver a world-class user experience continues to drive significant growth and profitability."

Company Overview

Specializing in online casino gaming and sports betting, Rush Street Interactive (NYSE:RSI) is an operator of digital gaming platforms.

Gaming Solutions

Gaming solution companies operate in a dynamic and evolving market, and the digital transformation of the gaming industry presents significant opportunities for innovation and growth, whether it be immersive slot machine terminals or mobile sports betting. However, the gaming solution industry is not without its challenges. Regulatory compliance is a crucial consideration as companies must navigate a complex and often fragmented regulatory landscape across different jurisdictions. Changes in regulations can impact product offerings, operational practices, and market access, requiring companies to maintain flexibility and adaptability in their business strategies. Additionally, the competitive nature of the industry necessitates continuous investment in research and development to stay ahead of competitors and meet evolving consumer demands.

Sales Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. While any business can experience short-term success, top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Luckily, Rush Street Interactive’s sales grew at an incredible 70.8% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average consumer discretionary company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Rush Street Interactive Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new product or trend. Rush Street Interactive’s annualized revenue growth of 24.9% over the last two years is below its five-year trend, but we still think the results were good and suggest demand was strong. Rush Street Interactive Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can dig further into the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its number of monthly active users, which reached 205,000 in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Rush Street Interactive’s monthly active users averaged 28.1% year-on-year growth. Because this number is higher than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization has fallen. Rush Street Interactive Monthly Active Users

This quarter, Rush Street Interactive reported wonderful year-on-year revenue growth of 31.1%, and its $254.2 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 3.4%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 13.7% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. Despite the slowdown, this projection is above average for the sector and indicates the market is forecasting some success for its newer products and services.

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Cash Is King

Although earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Rush Street Interactive has shown weak cash profitability over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 5.3%, subpar for a consumer discretionary business.

Rush Street Interactive Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Key Takeaways from Rush Street Interactive’s Q4 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Rush Street Interactive blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also glad its full-year EBITDA guidance and revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. The stock remained flat at $13.39 immediately following the results.

Sure, Rush Street Interactive had a solid quarter, but if we look at the bigger picture, is this stock a buy? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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