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Power Integrations (POWI): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?

POWI Cover Image

Power Integrations has had an impressive run over the past six months as its shares have beaten the S&P 500 by 6.2%. The stock now trades at $46.07, marking a 7.3% gain. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is now the time to buy Power Integrations, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Power Integrations Will Underperform?

We’re happy investors have made money, but we're cautious about Power Integrations. Here are three reasons we avoid POWI and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Spiraling Downwards

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, Power Integrations’s demand was weak and its revenue declined by 1.9% per year. This wasn’t a great result and signals it’s a low quality business. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.

Power Integrations Quarterly Revenue

2. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Power Integrations’s revenue to rise by 6%. While this projection indicates its newer products and services will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

3. Shrinking Operating Margin

Operating margin is an important measure of profitability as it shows the portion of revenue left after accounting for all core expenses – everything from the cost of goods sold to advertising and wages. It’s also useful for comparing profitability across companies with different levels of debt and tax rates because it excludes interest and taxes.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Power Integrations’s operating margin decreased by 22.6 percentage points over the last five years. Power Integrations’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers. Its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was 2.3%.

Power Integrations Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

Final Judgment

Power Integrations doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares outperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 36.4× forward P/E (or $46.07 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of Power Integrations

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