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7-10 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF (NQ: IEF )

93.65 -0.39 (-0.41%)
Official Closing Price Updated: 4:15 PM EST, Dec 4, 2023 Add to My Watchlist
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Technical Market Report For September 17, 2022
Seasonally, this negative period ends in a few weeks. 
Via Talk Markets
The Financial Markets Are Signaling Either A Slowdown Or A US Recession
The financial markets are signaling almost exactly what the IMF and the National Bank projections seem to imply, i.e. slower US growth, and /or even a US recession is just ahead. 
Via Talk Markets
Are You Prepared For The Coming Volatility Shock?
Volatility is ready to rock. Bonds hit lows and the inversion grows. 
Via Talk Markets
Gold Fell Under Its 2021 Lows; Ready For The Real Slide?
It seems that the biggest part of the 2013-like decline is taking place in the gold market. Is it a harbinger of the next phase of the yellow metal’s fall? 
Via Talk Markets
Monitoring Investment Trends With ETF Pairs - Thursday, Sept. 15
The risk-off sentiment is back, or so recent market activity suggests. Maybe risk-off never left. There are many ways to assess this state of affairs. 
Via Talk Markets
Estimating Future Stock Returns, June 2022 Update
The Fed will overshoot in tightening, leading the stock market to new lows in this bear market. 
Via Talk Markets
Business Cycle Chart Book
Longer leading indicators continue to suggest recession risk is elevated over the next year. Nevertheless, a soft landing remains possible. 
Via Talk Markets
Inflation And The Fed
The rate of inflation is slowing against the backdrop of slowing consumption and tighter financial conditions. 
Via Talk Markets
Inflation Peaks During Recessions
Yes, inflation has peaked; but it always does in a recession. And that has never been a good time to buy stocks. 
Via Talk Markets
Mid-September Market Update And Getting Ready For The Fed
Stocks continued their slide lower today with the Nasdaq and key tech stocks leading the price pathway lower, as some big market cap stocks continued making new 52-week lows. 
Via Talk Markets
Yields Are Defying Yesterday’s Logic
Economic activity is slowing, inflation expectations are falling, the Fed is aggressively fighting inflation, and QT has begun. In the past, those factors were a surefire recipe for a rip-roaring bond... 
Via Talk Markets
An Update After The Fall: Which Stocks Led The Market Lower And What Is The Big Picture Saying?
Wednesday's trading day saw a large one-day decline across the board in the equity market. 
Via Talk Markets
CoT Report - Futures Positions of Non-Commercials
Once the benchmark rates hit four percent, or thereabouts, the Fed likely pauses, if nothing else just to pacify voices within the FOMC who are cautioning not to overtighten the policy. 
Via Talk Markets
The Case For An Extended Bear Market
Business activity has a reliable cycle. Outlandish stimulus in 2020 has made the economic system unstable. The Fed is now draining liquidity, causing the markets to become more volatile. 
Via Talk Markets
Will CPI Catch Many On The Wrong Side Of The Market?
Will the CPI (inflation) report coming on September 13, 2022 catch many market participants/investors on the wrong foot? Did this week’s stock market rally bring the breadth thrusts back into play? 
Via Talk Markets
US Debt: Annualized Interest Surges More Than $22B In A Single Month
The Treasury added $341B of debt in August. This was the largest increase in the debt since January and is more than 10 times larger than the increase in July. Another major occurrence was the increase... 
Via Talk Markets
The European Energy Crisis Deepens. Could It Trigger A Recession?
On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, we discuss the energy crisis in Europe, then review the market’s reaction to the situation, as well as the latest steps taken by global central banks to... 
Via Talk Markets
Sharp Dollar Setback May Offer Bulls A Bargain
The dollar is having one of the largest setbacks in recent weeks. We expected the dollar to soften ahead of next week’s CPI, which may fan ideas/hopes of a peak in US price pressures. 
Via Talk Markets
“The Final Countdown” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…
As I have been saying since before Jackson Hole, the most important data point for 2022 will come on September 13 when CPI data is released. 
Via Talk Markets
China Reported A Falling Trade Balance
China's trade balance for August was 535.91 billion yuan, compared to the expected 504.85 billion yuan, and 682.69 billion yuan last year. Exports jumped by 11.8% last month against an expected 15.7%. 
Via Talk Markets
Commodity Markets: Gold, Silver, Uranium, Lithium, Nickel, Crude Oil, Copper, Natural Gas
Expecting the US Gov Bonds 10 Yr. Yields to eventually develop support on 3% and then move higher to 4%. 
Via Talk Markets
Stocks Drop On August 6 As Financial Conditions Tightening More
Today’s battle for the S&P 500 was between 3,900 and 3,920. Right now, the index is just consolidating and is likely to drop to around 3,820 over the near term to fill the gap at that level. 
Via Talk Markets
Gold $1810 The Launchpad For Miners
RSI and Stochastics both suggest gold is ready for a big rally from the double bottom pattern. 
Via Talk Markets
Gold Miners Trading At Dirt Cheap Prices
A walk through the housing bust in the southern hemisphere, large stock inflows, a secular peak in market multiples, and the long-term bull case for precious metals. 
Via Talk Markets
Moving Averages: S&P Down 4.2% in August
The S&P 500 closed August with a monthly loss of 4.24% after a gain of 9.11% in July. At this point, after close on the last day of the month, four of five S&P 500 strategies are signaling 
Via Talk Markets
CoT: Peek Into The Future, Hedge Fund Positions Etc.
This market continues to latch on to any excuse it gets for a pivot. 
Via Talk Markets
US Delays Trip To The Moon, But European Inflation Remains On A Rocket Trip
Uncertainty and volatility in the macro environment continue to be ever-present themes. It isn’t yet clear how quickly US inflation can fall, or indeed when and where inflation across Europe will... 
Via Talk Markets
Is The Fed Worried About The Mortgage Market?
The Fed has clearly defended the mortgage market over the last year. MBS has increased as a percentage of the balance sheet from 29.2% to 30.7%. 
Via Talk Markets
Wild Volatility To Start September: Your Update And Jobs Report Plan For Friday
It's a new month but volatility is here to stay. 
Via Talk Markets
September 2022 Monthly
Central banks have come under widespread criticism for letting inflation surge, not appreciating its persistence, and being generally too timid when they did move. 
Via Talk Markets
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